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Lower food prices pull CPI down in May

Consumer price index (CPI) in May dropped by 0.53% from the previous month mostly due to a sharp fall in food prices, the General Statistics Office (GSO) said on May 29.

This month’s CPI rose 0.37% from last December and 3.19% from the same period of 2016. The five-month figure hiked 4.47% from a year earlier.

Seven of the 11 groups of main commodities and services saw slight price increases, namely culture, entertainment and tourism (up 0.13%); household appliances and goods (0.1%); beverage and cigarette (0.08%); garment, footwear and hat (0.05%); and medicine and health care services (0.04%); education (0.02%); and other goods and services (0.15%).

Price declines were recorded in the four remaining groups. Food and catering services prices sank 1.43%, followed by transport services (down 0.34%), postal and telecommunication services (0.05%), and housing and construction materials (0.02%).

Do Thi Ngoc, Deputy Director of the GSO’s Price Statistics Department, said in the group of food and catering services, grain food prices decreased 0.06% in May because northern provinces have been harvesting the winter-spring rice while rice export became stagnant.

Prices of foodstuff, which makes up the biggest proportion in the food and catering services group, declined 2.27%, mainly in fresh meat. Notably, pork prices plummeted 9.94% from April due to a surge in supply, unchanged demand, and Chinese traders’ weak purchase.

She added petrol prices were cut on May 5 and 20, leading to a 0.71% fall in fuel prices compared to the previous month.

Meanwhile, there are factors hampering a further drop in CPI, including the hot weather, which fanned electricity consumption that in turn boosted power prices up by 0.98%. The hot weather also spurred the demand for cooling equipment and summer apparel and footwear.

Housing maintenance materials grew 0.93% as construction sand prices soared after sand mining was restricted nationwide, she noted.

In May, domestic gold prices fluctuated in line with global gold prices, dropping 0.1% from April to around VND36 million (US$1,853) per tael. The price of US dollar also declined slightly to VND22,600 – 22,700 per USD.

The GSO said the core inflation, which is the CPI excluding grain food, fresh foodstuff, energy and the State-managed goods of health care and educational services, in May increased 0.08% month on month and 1.33% year on year. 

The five-month core inflation rose by 1.56% from a year earlier, lower than the planned inflation of 1.6 – 1.8%, indicating a stable monetary policy.

CPI in June is likely to be the same or fall slightly from May since pork and poultry prices will still follow the downward trend. 

Meanwhile, stronger tourism demand in summer will augment eating and hospitality services prices. Price increases are also predicted for electricity, water and petrol, according to the GSO.

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